Phoenix
PHOENIXPREDICTIONS
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🚀

Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

Probability
63.6%
Volume
+19.8% $8.2M

Mar 31, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC

🇺🇸

Another US government shutdown by February 14?

Probability
71.0%
Volume
-16.2% $7.5M

Feb 14, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC

🔤

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Probability
83.7%
Volume
+11.6% $5.6M

Feb 28, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC

🇧🇷

Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Probability
28.0%
Volume
+44.8% $4.8M

Feb 23, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC

🇩🇪

Will Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Probability
21.5%
Volume
+6.3% $3.4M

Feb 23, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC

🟧

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?

Probability
43.5%
Volume
-18.2% $3.2M

Feb 2, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC

📧

Epstein 'I beat Bush' Email unredacted by March 31?

Probability
12.0%
Volume
+49.8% $2.4M

Mar 31, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC

♊

Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?

Probability
44.2%
Volume
-0.7% $2.1M

Apr 30, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC

⚖️

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Probability
34.7%
Volume
-41.2% $1.8M

Mar 15, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC

🃏

Will Logan Paul's PSA 10 Pokemon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

Probability
19.8%
Volume
+0.1% $1.2M

May 21, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC

🤝

US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?

Probability
52.4%
Volume
-13.8% $890k

Feb 28, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC