PHOENIXPREDICTIONS
| Market | Probability | Volume Total | Closing time |
|---|
🇺🇸Another US government shutdown by February 14? | 71.0% | -16.2% $800k | Feb 14, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC |
🚀Will Artemis II launch by March 31? | 63.6% | +19.8% $520k | Mar 31, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC |
🇧🇷Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | 28.0% | +44.8% $302k | Feb 23, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC |
🔤Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | 83.7% | +11.6% $286k | Feb 28, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC |
🇩🇪Will Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | 21.5% | +6.3% $206k | Feb 23, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC |
📧Epstein 'I beat Bush' Email unredacted by March 31? | 12.0% | +49.8% $154k | Mar 31, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC |
🟧MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2? | 43.5% | -18.2% $124k | Feb 2, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC |
♊Gemini 3.5 released by April 30? | 44.2% | -0.7% $119k | Apr 30, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC |
⚖️Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison? | 34.7% | -41.2% $99k | Mar 15, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC |
🃏Will Logan Paul's PSA 10 Pokemon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million? | 19.8% | +0.1% $62k | May 21, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC |
🤝US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026? | 52.4% | -13.8% $44k | Feb 28, 2026 · 12:00 PM UTC |